• Wed. Sep 28th, 2022

NFL win complete predictions: Our reporters make over/beneath picks for all 32 groups

Although the 2022 NFL season is roughly 4 months from kicking off, it’s by no means too early to take a position about win totals — or to gamble on them.

So far as the latter is worried, Caesars Sportsbook launched its preliminary projected win totals for every workforce for the approaching season. There’s lots that may nonetheless occur between from time to time, however NFL over/unders are open for wagering, so we requested our 32 NFL Nation writers to handicap the win totals of the groups they cowl primarily based on the preliminary Caesars numbers listed beneath.

There’s loads of optimism from our reporters in regards to the fortunes of the groups they cowl, slightly pessimism and the occasional pragmatic push right here and there. Whether or not it’s optimism about working it again with a profitable workforce, giddiness about offseason additions or adopting a wait-and-see strategy for rebuilding conditions, NFL Nation is right here to offer keen bettors with early recommendation.

Leap to:
ARI | ATL | BAL | BUF | CAR | CHI | CIN
CLE | DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU | IND
JAX | KC | LAC | LAR | LV | MIA | MIN
NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF
SEA | TB | TEN | WSH

Table of Contents

AFC EAST

Over/beneath: 11.5

Prediction: Buffalo received 11 video games final yr however ought to have received much more. The 2022 Payments ought to win greater than 11. This roster is best than in 2021, because of the additions made all through the offseason, most notably Von Miller. The AFC East improved across the Payments and the schedule has powerful video games in each portion, however this roster ought to win at the very least 12 video games. — Alaina Getzenberg


Over/beneath: 8.5

Prediction: On paper, there are seven video games that Miami ought to win if it considers itself a playoff contender. If it takes care of enterprise in these video games and pulls out a few swing video games, Miami ought to clear 8.5. — Marcel Louis-Jacques


Over/beneath: 8.5

Prediction: Invoice Belichick’s workforce wants just a few issues to occur to hit the over, beginning with quarterback Mac Jones making the often-discussed second-year soar. There are massive questions at linebacker and cornerback to reply as properly, and the offensive teaching employees, the place Matt Patricia and Joe Choose — whose major backgrounds are on protection and particular groups, respectively — are taking over lead roles. — Mike Reiss


Over/beneath: 5.5

Prediction: The Jets’ over/beneath is bigger than their common win complete over the previous six seasons (4.5). Disgrace on them if they will’t win at the very least six video games. After years of rebuilding — it appears like many years, proper? — the Jets have improved their personnel on either side of the ball to the purpose the place they completely must be taking part in significant video games in December. The distinction between 6-11 and, say, 9-8, might be Zach Wilson and his improvement. — Wealthy Cimini

AFC NORTH

Over/beneath: 9.5

Prediction: Baltimore will hit the over so long as Lamar Jackson stays wholesome, which was a serious problem final yr. Since Jackson took over because the starter halfway via the 2018 season, his profitable proportion (.755, 37-12 report) ranks solely behind that of Patrick Mahomes. With out Jackson, Baltimore is 2-5 (.286) over the previous three seasons. — Jamison Hensley


Over/beneath: 9.5

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Prediction: Final season, the Bengals exceeded expectations with a 10-win season. Cincinnati will want one other robust defensive yr and for its offense to click on because it did in wins over Kansas Metropolis and Baltimore if it needs to have a shot of hitting double digits. — Ben Child

Over/beneath: 9.5

Prediction: Whether or not Cleveland can high the present over/beneath will hinge closely on whether or not new quarterback Deshaun Watson is suspended beneath the league’s code of conduct coverage. If Watson isn’t suspended, the Browns have the expertise to simply attain 10 victories towards this schedule. — Jake Trotter


Over/beneath: 7.5

Prediction: For the Steelers to hit the over, they’ll want the quarterback state of affairs to be settled — and rapidly. Whether or not that’s Kenny Pickett ranging from the start and deftly adjusting to the NFL studying curve or Mitch Trubisky commanding Matt Canada’s offense, whoever takes over the beginning job must hit the bottom working, actually. — Brooke Pryor

AFC SOUTH

Over/beneath: 4.5

Prediction: Taking the over requires some religion in an improved offense behind quarterback Davis Mills, however even with a schedule that features the powerful AFC West, I’ll take the over in Houston. — Sarah Barshop


Over/beneath: 9.5

Prediction: The Colts can’t rely as a lot on working again Jonathan Taylor like they did final season in the event that they count on to satisfy or surpass that complete. The younger receivers, led by Michael Pittman Jr., must step up and assist Taylor and new beginning quarterback Matt Ryan if the Colts count on to go toe-to-toe with their schedule. — Mike Wells

Over/beneath: 6.5

Prediction: Simply having Doug Pederson main the ship as a substitute of City Meyer will make an enormous distinction, however to hit the over, quarterback Trevor Lawrence has to make main strides in his second season. That doesn’t appear unreasonable, contemplating he’s not coping with the dysfunction that infested the franchise beneath Meyer, the truth that Pederson has given him three assistants who have been former school or professional quarterbacks, and the workforce added receivers Christian Kirk and Zay Jones and tight finish Evan Engram in free company. — Michael DiRocco


Over/beneath: 9.5

Prediction: Tennessee has received 9 or extra video games in every of its three seasons with Mike Vrabel as coach. This yr’s schedule options clashes with the AFC West and a go to to Buffalo to face the Payments. Though it’s no stroll within the park, the Titans ought to have the ability to salvage 10 wins. — Turron Davenport

AFC WEST

Over/beneath quantity: 10

Prediction: To hit that over/beneath of 10, the Broncos will possible have to interrupt the dropping streak to the Chiefs, win most, or all, of their residence video games and be able to interrupt a six-year playoff drought. — Jeff Legwold


Over/beneath: 10.5

Prediction: The Chiefs have received at the very least 12 video games in every of the previous 4 seasons. However they haven’t performed a schedule fairly as troublesome because the one they may face this season, after every of their AFC West rivals loaded up via free company and trades. The Chiefs can hit the over in the event that they survive a gap six-game stretch that features two division video games plus matchups with the Payments and Bucs. — Adam Teicher


Over/beneath: 8.5

Prediction: That over/beneath of 8.5 appears insulting, given the Raiders are coming off a 10-win playoff season, improved throughout the roster and joined the twenty first century with an elite playcaller in new coach Josh McDaniels. That’s on paper, although, and the offensive line nonetheless has to guard quarterback Derek Carr, who will want time to ship the ball downfield to varsity bestie Davante Adams. — Paul Gutierrez


Over/beneath: 10

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Prediction: On paper, 10 wins must be doable, however fall into an 0-2 gap towards a pair of AFC West foes and that climb again might be steep certainly. Win each video games, and it must be easy crusing from there on in. — Paul Gutierrez

NFC EAST

Over/beneath: 10.5

Prediction: A yr in the past, the Cowboys received 12 video games, however they don’t have Amari Cooper, Randy Gregory, Connor Williams or La’el Collins round this yr. They haven’t made the large free-agent splashes. Their draft didn’t generate a ton of buzz, both. So why 10.5? They’re tied with Washington for the simplest energy of schedule primarily based off final yr’s win percentages. — Todd Archer


Over/beneath: 7

Prediction: Seven wins appears bold. This could be a three-win enchancment from final season’s 4-13 end. Is the prospect that Jones stays wholesome (he hasn’t but in three seasons) and a brand new teaching employees actually sufficient to deliver the 4 wins it could take to hit the over? — Jordan Raanan


Over/beneath: 9

Prediction: Contemplating the energy of schedule primarily based off final yr’s win percentages and the very fact they received 9 video games final season, the over/beneath of 9 may be slightly low. The commerce for A.J. Brown ought to assist quarterback Jalen Hurts in his second full season because the beginning quarterback. — Todd Archer


Over/beneath: 7.5

Prediction: That over/beneath would imply only a half-win higher than 2021 when accidents and COVID-19 derailed Washington’s season. The Commanders have upgraded at quarterback and will have a a lot better offense total. Defensively, they don’t face close to the caliber of quarterbacks they did final season. — John Keim

NFC NORTH

Over/beneath: 6.5

Prediction: The NFC North is extra open than years previous, however Chicago isn’t a workforce at the moment constructed to contend for the playoffs, not to mention a division title. The Bears will play 13 straight video games earlier than they get per week off late within the season. In the event that they need to hit the over, they could should depend on their protection to hold the load with some early wins as Justin Fields builds chemistry along with his new teammates throughout the early portion of the schedule. — Courtney Cronin


Over/beneath: 6

Prediction: To hit the over, quarterback Jared Goff has to indicate that he may be productive with anybody aside from Sean McVay as his head coach. Goff is 3-17-1 (.167) with a QBR of 33 in his profession with out McVay. All of that definitely isn’t his fault. Lions common supervisor Brad Holmes is placing offensive weapons round him in 2022, and Goff has a familiarity with receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown, working again D’Andre Swift and tight finish T.J. Hockenson. Plus, the Lions added receivers Chark and Jameson Williams by way of free company and the draft, respectively. The rebuilt protection additionally has to step it up as properly. — Eric Woodyard


Over/beneath: 11

Prediction: The oddmakers should not suppose coach Matt LaFleur can put collectively a fourth straight 13-win season. LaFleur has finished that in every of his first three seasons as a head coach. If they will make up for the lack of All-Professional receiver Davante Adams, then they might go over once more. And bear in mind, they have been 7-0 with out Adams the previous three seasons. — Rob Demovsky


Over/beneath: 9

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Prediction: Take the over. The Vikings’ roster has a better ground than most groups that rent a brand new coach. It’s gifted and has averaged 9 wins per yr over the previous 9 seasons. With a recent coat of paint on the offense and protection, and a weakened NFC total, this workforce ought to win at the very least 10 video games. — Kevin Seifert

NFC SOUTH

Over/beneath: 5.5

Prediction: Oddsmakers aren’t excessive on the Falcons – the over/beneath on win complete is 5.5 – and that’s with good motive, primarily based on the roster as at the moment constructed. Atlanta might shock a bit, significantly within the entrance seven on protection, however inevitably falls slightly below the over/beneath mark at 5 wins this season. — Michael Rothstein


Over/beneath: 6

Prediction: The percentages-makers have the Panthers’ win complete at 6. That’s yet one more win than the workforce has had in every of the previous three seasons. Carolina hasn’t had a profitable season since going 11-5 in 2017, which coincides with the final time the workforce had constant quarterback play. To surpass six wins, constant play from Sam Darnold, or whoever is at quarterback, is a should. — David Newton


Over/beneath: 7.5

Prediction: The oddsmakers are skeptical the Saints can overcome the lack of coach Sean Payton, setting their win complete at 7.5. That’s too low, contemplating they went 9-8 final yr regardless of setting an NFL report with 58 starters used. Getting quarterback Jameis Winston and star wideout Michael Thomas again wholesome and including first-round decide Chris Olave will revive the offense. — Mike Triplett


Over/beneath: 11.5

Prediction: They managed to go 13-4 final season regardless of their receiving corps being decimated by accidents within the final quarter of the season. However that was towards a Twenty ninth-ranked schedule, in keeping with FPI, with opponents ending a mixed 126-145 the yr earlier than. This season, the Bucs’ opponents completed a mixed 154-134-1 in 2021. — Jenna Laine

NFC WEST

Over/beneath quantity: 9

Prediction: They’ll must have a powerful begin with out Hopkins to succeed in that quantity. Their season is filled with powerful stretches and with a historical past of late-season collapses, reaching 9 wins could also be a stretch. — Josh Weinfuss


Over/beneath quantity: 10.5

Prediction: I’ll take the over. Sure, the Rams have the hardest energy of schedule in 2022, however they’d the second-toughest final season and nonetheless received 12 video games. — Sarah Barshop


Over/beneath quantity: 10

Prediction: That’s the variety of video games the Niners received final season earlier than making a deep postseason run and feels about proper for a roster that continues to be largely intact. However there’s much more potential variance with this group due to the anticipated ascendance of Trey Lance to the beginning quarterback job. — Nick Wagoner


Over/beneath quantity: 6

Prediction: I’m taking the over, however barely. Which may appear overly optimistic for a workforce with a serious query mark at quarterback, however there’s sufficient expertise elsewhere on their roster — and sufficient weak-looking opponents with iffy QB conditions of their very own — to scratch out seven wins. That may require one notable upset. — Brady Henderson